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Mozambique: FEWS Mozambique Food Security Outlook Jul 2007 to Mar 2008

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Mozambique


- About 520,000 people are currently highly food insecure and in need of immediate humanitarian assistance through March 2008 in seven provinces in southern and central Mozambique as a result of weather shocks in early 2007. The government and the humanitarian community are planning intervention strategies at the provincial and district sublevels and identifying and prioritizing the most vulnerable households.

- In the most likely scenario, food security is expected to improve moderately from October to December and improve significantly from January to March 2008. This improvement will result from adequate humanitarian assistance, contribution of the second season production, a good start of the rains in October and gradual improvement throughout the rainy season, which may lead to gradual availability of the green harvest from January/February 2008.

- In the worst case scenario, food security will deteriorate through the end of the year due to inadequate humanitarian assistance, a bad start of the rainy season and an insignificant contribution from the second production season. As a result, an additional 140,000 people will need food assistance by October, and many households will be extremely food insecure. Conditions will improve slightly in early 2008 with the onset of the green harvest, even though it will be late and below normal.

- About 520,000 people are currently highly food insecure and in need of immediate humanitarian assistance through March 2008 in seven provinces in southern and central Mozambique as a result of weather shocks in early 2007. The government and the humanitarian community are planning intervention strategies at the provincial and district sublevels and identifying and prioritizing the most vulnerable households.

- In the most likely scenario, food security is expected to improve moderately from October to December and improve significantly from January to March 2008. This improvement will result from adequate humanitarian assistance, contribution of the second season production, a good start of the rains in October and gradual improvement throughout the rainy season, which may lead to gradual availability of the green harvest from January/February 2008.

- In the worst case scenario, food security will deteriorate through the end of the year due to inadequate humanitarian assistance, a bad start of the rainy season and an insignificant contribution from the second production season. As a result, an additional 140,000 people will need food assistance by October, and many households will be extremely food insecure. Conditions will improve slightly in early 2008 with the onset of the green harvest, even though it will be late and below normal.


 


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